Stat Lab
Paste the numbers. Find the edge.
Drop in a list of past totals (or a CSV straight from a spreadsheet). The lab builds a fair line, shows how often any line goes over, and tells you whether −110 is worth it.
Test a line
Leave the line blank to use the fair line (the median, rounded to the half point).
Fair line
44
Median 44.0 · mean 44.8
Spread (σ)
8.9
Middle 50%: 39.0–51.0
Recent form
42.4
Last 5 · last 10 44.8
Trend
−0.20/game
R² 0.01 (noise)
At 44
n = 17 · range 28–62Over 44EV −1.0%
- History
- 50.0%
- 8 of 16
- Normal model
- 51.2%
- Fair odds
- -107
Under 44EV −7.6%
- History
- 50.0%
- 8 of 16
- Normal model
- 44.3%
- Fair odds
- +107
EV uses the average of the historical hit rate and the normal model, at -110. Positive EV means the price is better than the data suggests it should be. 1 past result(s) landed exactly on 44 (push).
Distribution
Bars left of the line are unders, right are overs. The gold line is the line being tested.
Game by game
Each result in order, the 5-game rolling average, and the least-squares trend.
OverUnder5-game averageTrend
Against the posted lines
Comparing each result to the line that was actually posted for that game.
O/U record
8–9
Overs hit 47%
Avg. vs line
−1.0
Lines set too high
Avg. miss
6.1
How far off the book is, on average
Blind-bet result
+0.18u
Betting every under at −110