Spread pick'em
Season standings
Points leader
Sam
88 pts in 8 weeks
Up the most
Breeze
+$40.00 net
Big favorites (6+)
12 of 37
covered · group backed them 63%
Weeks graded
8
Pot paid out: $610
Standings
"vs. coin" is points per full week above the 11 a coin-flipper averages. "Skill?" is the chance a coin-flipper would hit at least this many of their decided picks (lower is more impressive).
| # | Player | Wk 1 | Wk 2 | Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 | Wk 6 | Wk 7 | Wk 8 | Wk 9 | Total | vs. coin | Correct | Skill? | Won | Net | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sam Schrader | 14 ★ | 12 ★ | 10 ★ | 11 | 9 | 12 ★ | 10 | 10 | 0 | 88 | 0.0 | 63/118 · 53% | 26% | $118.33 | +$38.33 | +28.5 · beat 76% of 89 |
| 2 | Phil Dauma | — | 12 ★ | 9 | 12 ★ | 9 | 10 ★ | 12 | 12 ★ | 1 | 76 | −0.1 | 58/102 · 57% | 10% | $63.34 | −$6.66 | +3.5 · beat 57% of 89 |
| 3 | Hayden Cashion | — | — | 10 ★ | 11 | 13 ★ | 7 | 13 ★ | 10 | 3 | 64 | −0.3 | 45/85 · 53% | 33% | $60.00 | $0.00 | +0.5 · beat 41% of 88 |
| 4 | Regan Hill | 12 | 12 ★ | 0 | 12 ★ | 14 ★ | 8 | 6 | — | 0 | 64 | −1.9 | 46/90 · 51% | 46% | $58.33 | −$11.67 | −1.0 · beat 42% of 61 |
| 5 | John Lowe | 14 ★ | 0 | 8 | 14 ★ | 4 | 10 ★ | — | 12 ★ | — | 62 | −2.1 | 41/89 · 46% | 80% | $90.00 | +$20.00 | −1.0 · beat 52% of 73 |
| 6 | Ryan McCarthy | 13 | — | 9 | 16 ★ | 3 | 9 | — | 10 | 1 | 60 | −1.0 | 41/83 · 49% | 59% | $60.00 | $0.00 | +5.0 · beat 55% of 69 |
| 7 | Breeze | — | — | 10 ★ | 10 | 15 ★ | 6 | — | — | — | 41 | −0.8 | 31/59 · 53% | 40% | $80.00 | +$40.00 | +21.0 · beat 68% of 60 |
| 8 | Matt | — | — | 14 ★ | 10 | 8 | — | — | — | — | 32 | −0.3 | 22/45 · 49% | 62% | $70.00 | +$40.00 | +9.5 · beat 67% of 46 |
| 9 | Max Breshears | 12 | 9 | 3 | — | 8 | 0 | — | — | — | 32 | −4.6 | 25/62 · 40% | 95% | $0.00 | −$50.00 | +1.0 · beat 44% of 31 |
| 10 | Mark Trella | — | — | 8 | 9 | 12 | — | — | — | — | 29 | −1.3 | 22/43 · 51% | 50% | $0.00 | −$30.00 | −5.0 · beat 36% of 44 |
| 11 | John McCabe | — | 9 | 10 ★ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19 | −1.5 | 14/30 · 47% | 71% | $10.00 | −$10.00 | −3.5 · beat 25% of 15 |
| 12 | John McCabe | — | — | — | 6 | 12 | — | — | — | — | 18 | −2.0 | 13/29 · 45% | 77% | $0.00 | −$20.00 | −10.5 · beat 35% of 30 |
| 13 | Hayden Cashion | 1 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | −6.0 | 8/20 · 40% | 87% | $0.00 | −$10.00 | — |
★ = finished in the money that week. Italic scores are from a week still in progress and don't count in totals yet.
Points race
Cumulative points through each week.
Skill or luck?
Every full weekly entry against what random picking produces. Scores above the dashed line beat what luck alone usually wins with.
Coin flip, 11 ± 3Luck's winning score ≈ 15.2
The Crowd vs. the winner
A ghost entry built from the group's majority side on each game, with its biggest points on the most lopsided votes.
Crowd entryActual winning score
Want the why?
Favorites vs. underdogs, whether consensus pays, confidence-point accuracy, who thinks alike, and each player's tendencies.